Ticker

6/recent/ticker-posts

Changing Contours of Global Terror - Indian Context





Introduction
Terrorism, indeed, has become a global phenomenon posing major threat to international peace, security and stability.  Access to advance technology, including cyberspace, sophisticated communications, global funding and military grade weapons has given such groups enormous strength. It is no wonder; therefore, that terrorism constitutes one of the principal challenges at the global, regional and national levels and has become a key factor in national security planning. Terrorism is fundamentally an attack on the state. The rise of religious fundamentalism has introduced a new ideology which sanctifies ‘Jehad’ (holy war) and ‘Fidayeen’ (suicide) attacks. This exploits the situation of ‘backwardness’ and economic disparity of the frustrated youth of society. Terrorism today, therefore, has been transformed into a trans-national, high-tech, lethal and global phenomenon. The response to terrorism needs to be structured accordingly and the decision making process also needs to be modernised.

In the recent few years, perception of ‘Global Terrorism’ has undergone a massive makeover with the rise of violent armed terror groups especially in the Middle East, South Asia and African continent. This phenomenon could be attributed to the diminishing control in the terror space of the Al-Qaeda leadership, which just a decade ago was the face of terrorism. The shift of AQ Network from the Middle East to South Asia is a phenomenon, which is of serious concern to India. The Boko-Haram-IS alliance primarily seeks to enhance the idea of global jihad with an aggressive brand of terror and footprint of Caliphate into Africa, through innovative measures. International Terrorism also implies that such terrorist groups, e.g. JEI, Al Qaida, etc. have an organisation/ network/ linkage in a number of countries. For instance, we have identified terrorists who are nationals from 16 countries, currently operating in J&K.

The New Face of Terrorism
The new face of global terrorism can be most vividly seen in the dramatic change and growth in its infrastructure. The terrorist movement has come a long way from selective recruitment in secret cells to mass recruitment.  In addition, the source of recruitment and training is no longer confined to the affected areas but spans the entire globe, with a phenomenal up gradation of weaponry. Funds and finance channels are no longer confined to resources locally mobilized through individual contributions, extortion and crime.

State-of-the-art communication systems are available to the terrorist which is at times better than the ones being used by the counter-terrorist agencies. Access to advanced technology including cyber-space, Internet, electronic mail, etc. has provided terrorist groups with a global communication system. It has also provided such groups with an immensely destructive tool which can be potentially crippling for technology based economies.

Another relatively new dimension is the networking of terrorist groups with the criminal underworld including organized crime gangs, gunrunners, smugglers, drug peddlers, with hawala and parallel banking channels being used for ensuring global flows of finance.    It has enabled global terrorist groups to use the infrastructure and terrain knowledge of local outfits for launching attacks in countries, despite having no presence in the area.

Emergence of India at the global level is also being challenged by the terrorist groups, due to its vibrant economy and plural character.   Devising a strategy to counter these diverse trends is an extremely complex task, which I expect this Conference to debate. India has taken steps for setting up of Joint Working Groups (JWGs) on counter-terrorism/security matters with key countries. Bilateral treaties on Mutual Legal Assistance (MLATs) in Criminal matters to facilitate investigation, collection of evidence, transfer of witnesses, location & action against proceeds of crime etc. have been signed with other countries.

The Government has to placed security and safety as its top priority. 
·         To identified several key areas and allocated enough budgetary resources to address this issue,
·         To boosted the security-related infrastructure at the border management by launching new schemes,
·         To minimize cross-border-infiltration
·         Allocated substantial funds to the police modernisation programmes all over the country with a view to ensure quick and better response mechanisms. 
·         To raised Regional Hubs of NSG battalions in important strategic locations, to meet any unforeseen challenges. 
Having realized the importance of funds and the necessity to curb its flow, this Government introduced Demonetization, to choke the funding patterns of various terrorists outfits and effectively curbed the expansionist designs of these outfits.

Terrorism
Terrorism is usually understood as the use or threat of violence to further a political cause. There is no universally agreed definition of terrorism making it a difficult object to quantify. The use or threat of action designed to influence the government or an international governmental organisation or to intimidate the public, or a section of the public; made for the purposes of advancing a political, religious, racial or ideological cause; and it involves or causes:
·         serious violence against a person;
·         serious damage to a property;
·         a threat to a person's life;
·         a serious risk to the health and safety of the public; or
·         Serious interference with or disruption to an electronic system.

India subdivides terrorism in four major groups:
1.       Ethno-nationalist terrorism - This form of terror focuses either (a) on creating a separate State within India or independent of India or in a neighboring country, or (b) on emphasising the views/response of one ethnic group against another. Violent Tamil Nationalist groups from India to address the condition of Tamils in Sri Lanka, as well as insurgent tribal groups in North East India are examples of ethno-nationalist terrorist activities.
2.       Religious terrorism - This form of terror focuses on religious imperatives, a presumed duty or in solidarity for a specific religious group, against one or more religious groups. Mumbai 26/11 terror attack in 2008 from an Islamic group in Pakistan is an example of religious terrorism in India.
a.       Left-wing terrorism - This form of terror focuses on economic ideology, where all the existing socio-political structures are seen to be economically exploitative in character and a revolutionary change through violent means is essential. The ideology of Marx, Engel, Mao, Lenin and others are considered as the only valid economic path. Maoist violence in Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh are examples of left wing terrorism in India.
b.      Right-wing Terrorism- Right-wing groups generally seek to maintain the status-quo or to return to some past situation that they feel should have been conserved. Sometimes, groups espousing rightist ideologies might assume ethnic/racist character too. They may force the government to acquire a territory or to intervene to protect the rights of an ‘oppressed’ minority in a neighboring country (i.e : the Nazi Party in Germany).
3.       Narcoterrorism - Narco-terrorism is an interesting concept, which can fall in the category of either ‘Types of Terrorism’ or ‘Means of Terrorism’, depending on how it is defined. This form of terror focuses on creating illegal narcotics traffic zones. Drug violence in northwest India is an example of narco-terrorism in India.
4.       State-sponsored Terrorism: State-sponsored terrorism or warfare by proxy is as old as the history of military conflict. Walter Laqueur notes that such established practices existed in ancient times. In recent times, some countries have embraced terrorism as a deliberate instrument of foreign policy. One distinction of state sponsored terrorism from other forms of terrorist activity is that it is initiated to obtain certain clearly defined foreign policy objectives rather than grabbing media attention or targeting the potential audience.



International Terrorism: India's Long Term Strategy and Concerns

Geo-Political Environment and Threat Assessment
It is necessary to examine the environment, both internal and external that exists in India. The prevailing internal environment has a direct bearing on the growth of terrorism in the country, and should be examined first. The realities in our context are:
·         The fact that our consolidation as a secular, federal and democratic state is still evolving; and that the diversity of our multi-ethnic / multi religious society is often exploited by fundamentalist forces.
·         The absence of sufficient employment and unequal development, the resultant poverty and the accompanying frustration, which has encouraged unemployed youth to take up criminal acts and narcotics.
·         Ineffective Anti-Terrorism legislation/ legal frame-work and misplaced judicial-activism.
·         "Structural" inadequacies in the state apparatus, namely:
— Weaknesses in the intelligence structure – human as well as technical.
— Inadequate modernisation of Police, PMF and Armed Forces.
— Unimaginative media management and coverage.
— Reactive response and slow governmental decision-making, lack of clear strategy and policy on Internal Security.

Amongst the existing external environment, the regional / sub continental realities that merit consideration are:
·         Our situation between the ‘Golden Crescent’ and the ‘Golden Triangle’ leading to a heavy influx of drugs and arms.
·         A hostile nuclear Pakistan with a land border of 3,400 km, who sponsors ‘state-terrorism’ and fundamentalist forces.
·         The unresolved border with China (5,800 km), a country that has active military and nuclear co-operation with Pakistan.
·         A long sea border (7,700 km), prone to pirating and smuggling.
·         A contiguous and porous border with unequal smaller SAARC nations such as Nepal, Bangladesh, Myanmar and Sri Lanka, with accompanying problems such as illegal migration, trade and smuggling in the border belt and the resultant social tensions. Because of its size and capabilities, India is perceived as a big brother whose active cooperation is denounced as so-called ‘intervention’ and lack of it, as ‘indifference’.

On the larger international scene, the factors that impact on terrorism are the following:
·         Globalisation has made geographic borders transparent to the flow of ideas, people and also turmoil.
·         Technology has extended the reach and capabilities of the terrorists at the global level.
·         Economic interests of national and multi-national corporations (MNCs) pre-dominate all other interests. Therefore, unfriendly acts by some of our neighbours are not questioned.
·         The lack of international cooperation to undertake anti-terrorist action till the 11 September incident. However, unless implemented and enforced, it is of little use. This, therefore, needs to be converted into an international convention and adopted by all nations.

LONG TERM STRATEGY
Following from the above understanding of the nature of international terrorism that faces us today, it is clear that a long-term strategy is required to counter terrorism. It has to be comprehensively addressed on all fronts, political, economic, social and military. This strategy needs to be evolved from our national aims and objectives to protect ‘core values’. These core values are:
·         Consolidate as a secular, federal democratic state with freedom of speech, equality and justice.
·         Protect sovereignty and territorial integrity.
·         Promote socio-economic growth and development.

Political / Diplomatic Strategy: International terrorism cannot effectively be fought alone, as has been our experience so far. All nations must join hands to combat it, as is being done for Osama bin Laden and Al Qaida. Pakistan sponsored ‘proxy’ war must be exposed and international pressure applied. A strong message needs to be conveyed to Pakistan, that we mean business, demonstrated by deeds/actions. All steps to convey this must be implemented such as diplomacy, trade, sports and military.

Internal Strategy: Our policy of meeting political / economic aspirations has succeeded in many cases through the creation of new states and autonomous councils with limited military containment. However, it has not succeeded where ‘internal support’ has been potent. Therefore, need to move from a policy of appeasement and accommodation to firm action, before the problem spreads:
·         Adopt proactive policies to confront the terrorists militarily, and at the roots of terrorist ideology – fundamentalists, social evils and sources of terrorism e.g. narcotics / drug trade.
·         Enact effective anti-terrorist laws and legal framework.
·         Modernise and enlarge intelligence networks.
·         Modernise state Police and Para Military Forces in training, equipment and ethos.

Economic Dimension: Spread the fruits of development more evenly throughout the country. Locate some of the Public Sector Units in the remote areas even if they are non-profit making.
·         Put in a greater developmental effort in the remote, weaker sections of society – which, though a stated policy is not visible at present.
·         Reduce demographic displacement resulting in social / ethnic tension such as in Assam and Tripura, through the joint development of sensitive border belts along Nepal, Bangladesh and Myanmar.
·         Enhance our economic and military capabilities so as to widen the gap between India and Pakistan sufficiently, and act as an economic and military deterrence for Pakistan, which would then realise the futility of trying to catch up.

Social Environment: Promote moderate and secular polity by media, intelligentsia and religious institutions. The path of developing a composite culture as already developed in the Armed Forces may serve as a useful role model.
·         Address the outdated education system of Madrassas by quality modernisation and laying down guidelines for uniform syllabii. We cannot continue to recognise religious education such as those in the Madrassas as an entrance-system for universities. Suitable alternatives have to be created.
·         Upgrade our communication systems so that television and telecommunication spreads to our remote and border areas, which are currently under constant reach of Pakistan propaganda.
·         There should be realistic psychological and information warfare so that the will of the anti-national elements is suffocated and the hearts of the populace are won.

Military Strategy:  Need to clearly spell out our counter terrorism strategy / doctrine. This should tackle the causes and not just the symptoms. For example J&K is only a symptom of terrorism and NOT the cause. The direction of military strategies should be as under:
·         The aim of military operations should be to create a secure and suitable environment, so that social, economic and political issues can be addressed effectively. Seeking political solutions to accommodate the aspirations without fully eliminating the terrorists, their structure and support bases only results in a ‘fire fighting’ situation and actually prolongs terrorism. This results in enormous costs, militarily and economically.
·         The evolution of a superior Intelligence System is imperative. This should encompass human, technical, electronic intelligence, as also modernisation of data processing and dissemination – both external and internal.
o   The first step should be to build-up the military forces and their capabilities (which are not adequate currently), and thereafter consolidation of these capabilities and finally destruction of the militants.
o   A reactive response is not the answer. A reorientation of armed response is required so as to launch proactive and specific surgical military operations.
o   An important element of a proactive effort is to increase the costs of proxy war to Pakistan, by undertaking ‘Hot Pursuit Strikes’ across the LoC and into Pakistan-Occupied Kashmir (POK).
·         Effective surveillance and management of the borders to check infiltration (International Border/ Line of Control), is also necessary. This should be achieved through technical means of surveillance, backed by highly mobile, specialised forces as ‘Reaction capability’ rather than the present system, which is manpower intensive.
·         Foreign-based terrorists have to be hit at their bases, training camps and sanctuaries to end the surrogate terrorism or the proxy war by Pakistan. Special Forces both overt and covert, need to be employed for this task.
·         Preventive measures against nuclear, biological and chemical (NBC) and cyber-terrorism.

Conclusion
At present, there is a lack of a consistent and comprehensive policy at the national level. ‘Collective Action’ to fight by international cooperation is a must, as the economic costs of combating terrorism by a single nation are colossal. Such collective action had not come about till the American-led coalition forces in Afghanistan operated against the Taliban. Collective action is not confined to active combat alone. Simultaneously, foreign sponsors of international terrorism have to be identified and tamed. Collective Action is required continue with the present situation where the Armed Forces bear all the responsibility of dealing with anti-national elements, while other members of society, from the safety of their homes, advocate what they deem to be politically correct measures. A democratic polity and a diverse society such as India do not support stringent measures and anti-terrorist legislation, even when necessary.

Technology enhancement, NBC, cyber-terrorism have given the terrorists unlimited powers and to counter these, we must modernise our security apparatus. There is also a necessity to have institutional security, through an overall improvement in intelligence interception and police efficiency as the list of political targets continues to grow in the urban and industrial field. The citizens of the country also have to be energised to feel responsible for the well-being of the nation and state apparatus alone will not suffice. Ultimately, the roots of terrorism have to be removed through good governance. Political corruption and lack of good governance is a basic contributor to frustration setting in into a society, which is then exploited by unfriendly nations. Needless to say, this has to be addressed immediately by striving to achieve economic well-being, social justice and political aspirations of the populace.  The Govt. of India in tandem with the State Governments, has adopted a multi-pronged approach to deal with the emerging situation.  What we need is a sustained united effort, to identity the terror modules operating in the Globe and neutralise them.